I think they may have underestimated Adelaide. I'm betting on at least 15 million by then.Air passenger numbers in Australia to double by 2030
The number of air passenger movements through Australian capital and non-capital city airports is forecast to double to 279 million within the next two decades.
That’s the key finding of the latest Bureau of Infrastructure, Transport and Regional Economics (BITRE) research report “Air passenger movements through capital and non-capital city airports to 2030–31” released at the Australian Airports Association National Convention.
For the first time, the report also includes statistics for our non-capital city airports including Newcastle, Cairns, Gold Coast, Townsville and Launceston.
The report provides the data to help Australia plan its airport infrastructure into the future. Whether it will help solve the sorry impasse over Sydney Airport, where the obvious course (Badgery’s Creek) is consistently stymied by political interests, is another matter.
The number of air passenger movements through all Australian airports is projected to grow strongly over the next 20 years, largely due to a positive economic outlook for Australia and its trading partners.
Passenger numbers are forecast to increase by 3.7% a year over the forecast period, from 135.1 million in 2010–11 to 279.2 million in 2030–31.
Domestic and international air passenger movements are projected to increase by 3.3 and 4.9% a year over the same period to 207.1 and 72.1 million, respectively, in 2030-31.
The number of air passenger movements through capital city and non-capital city airports are expected to grow by 3.8% and 3.2% a year over the same period to 230.5 and 48.8 million, respectively, in 2030-31. Passenger numbers are forecast to grow by:
3.6% a year in Sydney to 72.0m
3.9% a year in Melbourne to 60.4m
4.2% a year in Brisbane to 45.1m
4.4% a year in Perth to 25.7m
3.1% a year in Adelaide to 13.5m
4.4% a year in Gold Coast to 13.1m
3.7% a year in Cairns to 8.0m
3.3% a year in Canberra to 6.1m
4.2% a year in Darwin to 4.2m
3.0% a year in Hobart to 3.5m
3.7% a year in Townsville to 3.4m
3.1% a year in Newcastle to 2.2m
2.7% a year in Launceston to 2.0m
2.3% a year in all other airports to 20.1m
Forecasts have been developed using expected growth in population, real income levels, exchange rates, real airfares and travel and accommodation prices.
Global Travel Media
P.S. Link in title gets you to my website.